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COM-Poisson Regression Model: Application to Bike Sharing in the United States
圖書章節

COM-Poisson Regression Model: Application to Bike Sharing in the United States

S.B. Chatla 和 G. Shmueli
Contributions to Management Science, 卷.Part F1307, 頁碼.31-67
Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
2026

摘要

Change point Gradient boosting Model-based recursive partitioning Overdispersion Underdispersion
Count data prediction is widely used in various domains, including transportation, marketing, and telecommunications. These datasets often exhibit diverse dispersion levels, ranging from overdispersion to equidispersion and underdispersion. The Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (COM-Poisson) distribution provides a flexible framework for modeling such data, encompassing Poisson, Bernoulli, and Geometric distributions within the exponential family. However, its predictive application is limited by computational complexity and the lack of closed-form expressions for the mean and variance. This chapter explores key extensions of the COM-Poisson regression model, including parametric and nonparametric approaches such as additive models, model-based recursive partitioning trees, and gradient boosting. The effectiveness of these methods is demonstrated in R software through a real-world case study on bike-sharing demand in Washington, DC. © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2026.

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