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On Robustness of Double Linear Policy with Time-Varying Weights
Conference paper

On Robustness of Double Linear Policy with Time-Varying Weights

Xin-Yu Wang and Chung-Han Hsieh
Proceedings of the IEEE Conference on Decision and Control, pp.8515-8520
2023

Abstract

Control and Systems Engineering Modeling and Simulation Control and Optimization
In this paper, we extend the existing double linear policy by incorporating time-varying weights instead of constant weights and study a certain robustness property, called robust positive expectation (RPE), in a discrete-time setting. We prove that the RPE property holds by employing a novel elementary symmetric polynomials characterization approach and derive an explicit expression for both the expected cumulative gain-loss function and its variance. To validate our theory, we perform extensive Monte Carlo simulations using various weighting functions. Furthermore, we demonstrate how this policy can be effectively incorporated with standard technical analysis techniques, using the moving average as a trading signal.

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