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CIR、GARCH及Jump-Diffusion模式在指數選擇權定價之研究
Thesis

CIR、GARCH及Jump-Diffusion模式在指數選擇權定價之研究

陳力凡
Masters, National Tsing Hua University
2002

Abstract

廣義自我迴歸條件異質變異模型隨機利率跳動模式指數選擇權 GARCHstochastic interest ratejump-diffusionindex options
In this article, we mainly estimate the parameters of GARCH (1,1) model to simulate the index prices and use jump diffusion process to simulate the interest rate paths in the stochastic interest rate model. Therefore, we release the assumption in Black-Scholes model that the volatility and interest rate are taken unchangeable. On the other hand, because the fixed-income securities in Taiwan are not as popular as other advanced countries, our interest rate will be smooth and steady after a jump occurrs. Moreover, in our result, the volatility of interest rate in Taiwan is estimated nearly zero.To conclusion, when comparing with the market price, we find that the model combining GARCH (1, 1) model and CIR model with jump diffusion process could get better performance than single GARCH (1,1 ) model and Black-Scholes model.

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