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Cure Rate Models with Local Polynomial Estimation
Thesis

Cure Rate Models with Local Polynomial Estimation

Lin, Li Hsiang
Masters, 國立清華大學, 統計學研究所
2014

Abstract

治療模型 治癒率 局部多項式回歸 局部最大概似估計法 Cure Model Cure rate Local polynomial regression Local maximum likelihood estimation
Many medical studies show that there are subjects who are cured, free of disease, or die of other causes after treatments. Those subjects come from the nonsusceptible population of the disease and cure models may be used to predict the cure rates with suitable covariates. In our thesis, we extend bounded cumulative hazards models, which is one of the two main types of cure models, to a nonparametric setting for estimating the cure rates and assume that the baseline function in the model follows a parametric distribution. We adopt the local polynomial approach and use the local likelihood criterion to derive estimators of cure rates. This way we adopt a flexible method to estimate the cure rate, the important part in cure models, and a convenient way to model the baseline function, which is less useful in practice. We also derive the convex conditions for the extended cure model. We simulate two examples to examine the performance of our proposed methods. Finally, we apply the extended model to two real datasets to predict cure rates with a continuous covariate.

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