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The Equity Premium Puzzle
Thesis

The Equity Premium Puzzle

CHU HSU-HSIEN
Masters, 國立清華大學, 科技管理研究所
2004

Abstract

股票風險溢酬 效用函數調整 股利 Equity Premium Puzzle Habit Formation Dividends
Since the equity premium puzzle was identified by Mehra and Prescott (1985), many papers in this literature has started to discuss this phenomenon and the subsequent problem- risk-free rate puzzle. In accordance with standard asset-pricing theory, if we want to estimate precisely asset prices, it’s necessary for us to calculate correctly the appropriate discount factor and the future cash flow. Unfortunately, many scholars often discuss the equity premium puzzle from the only one viewpoint. Therefore we apply habit formation model to estimate the discount factor and model the cash flow by allowing aggregate dividends to differ from aggregate consumption. In benchmark scenario, we also show that the jump in surplus consumption ratio plays a critical role in expounding the equity premium puzzle and the risk-free rate puzzle.

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