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Variance Premium and Option Valuation with U-Shaped Pricing Kernel under Two-Factor Volatility Components Model
Thesis

Variance Premium and Option Valuation with U-Shaped Pricing Kernel under Two-Factor Volatility Components Model

Ya-Lei Liu
Masters, 國立清華大學, 計量財務金融學系
2015

Abstract

定價核 選擇權定價 波動率期限結構模型 縮減因子 EM算法 pricing kernel option valuation two-factor volatility components model scaling factor EM algorithm
Based on GARCH models, the purpose of this paper is to extend the two-factor volatility components model by taking a U-shape pricing kernel which was developed by Christoffersen et al. (2013). By imposing the U-shaped pricing kernel, we surprisingly obtain a more elaborate model which can also explain some puzzles in the market. Furthermore, this article derives a closed-form solution for option valuation which is convenient and propitious for computational financing. As for the methodology used in estimation, we chose the EM algorithm to modified the likelihood function because of the incomplete data. The empirical result demonstrates the well ability of the generalized model when reconcile time series properties of stock returns with the option prices. Moreover, we also use the in-sample and out-of-sample to test the predictability of the generalized model. Under our specification, the U-shaped pricing kernel makes the new model somehow more predictable than before.

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