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Yen Carry Trades versus Stocks: An Analysis Based on Almost Stochastic Dominance
Thesis

Yen Carry Trades versus Stocks: An Analysis Based on Almost Stochastic Dominance

Lin, Yu-Jung
Masters, 國立清華大學, 計量財務金融學系
2017

Abstract

日圓利差交易 隨機優勢 幾乎隨機優勢 Yen Carry Trade Stochastic Dominance Almost Stochastic Dominance
Carry trade is an attractive trading strategy for speculators with the concept involving borrowing low interest rate currency and investing in high interest rate currency. Besides, as the Bank of Japan (BOJ) adopted the “zero interest rate” policy for a long time, carry trades funding with yen turn to be very popular. However, while some paper focus on the profitability of yen carry trades, this paper investigates the dominance among yen carry trades and the chosen benchmark (i.e. the S&P500 Index). The dominance will be examined by employing famous Stochastic Dominance (SD) and Almost Stochastic Dominance (ASD) methods over the sample period Mar.2001~Dec.2016. As a result, during our sample period, we find that the S&P500 Index could dominate yen carry trades under the ASD method. Moreover, the power of the dominance will be stronger while increasing investment horizons.

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