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以公開訊息、濾嘴法則、股價乖離率及黃金死亡交叉是否可以獲得超額報酬?
Thesis

以公開訊息、濾嘴法則、股價乖離率及黃金死亡交叉是否可以獲得超額報酬?

鄭欣偉
Masters, 國立清華大學, 經濟學系
2000

Abstract

公開訊息 濾嘴法則 股價乖離率 黃金及死亡交叉 Jensen’s α係數 Sharpe ratio Treynor ratio 市場效率性 Public information filter rule stock bias golden and died intersection Jensen’s α coefficient Sharpe ratio Treynor ratio market efficiency
In this dissertation, we try to find whether there exists one strategy can beat buy and hold strategy or not. We adopt all kinds of investment strategies including public information strategy (PI strategy), filter rule (FR), simple technical analysis rule(STAR) and complex technical analysis rule(CTAR). To see whether these strategies can beat buy-and-hold,we compare Jensen’s α coefficient,Sharpe ratio and Treynor ratio. If any investment strategy can beat buy-and-hold in all sub-periods,then we can say the stock market is inefficient。 Our results found that although PI, FR and STAR strategies can beat buy and hold in entire period. But they can’t beat buy hold consistently in all sub-periods. However, the CTAR strategy (using stock bias plus golden and death intersection rule) can beat buy-and-hold strategy clearly by Jensen’s α coefficient,Sharpe ratio and Treynor ratio both is the entire periods and in all sub-periods. Hence we conclude that Taiwan’s stock market is inefficient。

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