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匯率與股價之間的關係—以金融中心國家為例
Thesis

匯率與股價之間的關係—以金融中心國家為例

王裕婷
Masters, 國立清華大學, 經濟學系所
2017

Abstract

股價 匯率 單根檢定 共整合 因果關係 向量自我迴歸模型 衝擊反應分析 stock price exchange rate unit root cointegration causality VAR impulse responses
This paper empirically analyzes the relationships between effective exchange rates and stock prices in main financial centers, including United States, United Kingdom, Japan, Singapore, China and Hong Kong. The paper uses monthly data from January 1970 to October 2017. The macroeconomic variables in the VAR model are industrial production index, consumer price index, benchmark interest rate, effective exchange rate and stock price index from Data Stream database. The impulse response functions indicate that stock price has a significant impact on effective exchange rate for the markets in United States, United Kingdom, China, and Singapore. In addition, we find that for the cases of United Kingdom, Japan, Hong Kong, and Singapore, the exchange rate has a significant impact on the stock price. Among these countries, United Kingdom and Singapore have two-way effects between effective exchange rate and stock price index.

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