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台灣動態隨機一般均衡模型建立與估計-應用馬可夫轉換模型
Thesis

台灣動態隨機一般均衡模型建立與估計-應用馬可夫轉換模型

張君瑋
Masters, 國立清華大學, 經濟學系所
2016

Abstract

馬可夫轉換模型 動態隨機一般均衡模型 時間變動 貨幣政策 Markov Switching Model Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model time-varying monetary policy
The thesis combines the Markov-Switching Model with Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model and derives a Markov-Switching Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for Taiwan. The main purpose of my thesis is to investigate whether the monetary policy of Taiwan central bank and the volatility of exogenous shock will vary over time or not in Taiwan. Based on the analysis of the data from Taiwan, it is found that the monetary policies can be roughly classified into two types in strategy. One is the moderate policy which is more related to inflation rate, and the other is the aggressive policy which has a less relation with inflation rate. Moreover, my thesis argues that there are two conditions of exogenous shocks: high volatility and low volatility.

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