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台灣跨縣市人口遷徙之研究-與五都升格和財政結構之關係
Thesis

台灣跨縣市人口遷徙之研究-與五都升格和財政結構之關係

翁貴貞
Masters, 國立清華大學, 經濟學系
2013

Abstract

跨縣市遷徙 五都升格 財政結構 inter-county/city migration the special municipality reform fiscal structure conditional logit model Difference-in-Differences
This paper studies the impact of the special municipality reform in 2010 and the difference in fiscal structure on inter-county/city migration in Taiwan. Including 19 jurisdictions in Taiwan, we use both macro-level and micro-level analysis. Also, we use Difference-in-Differences method to see whether the upgrade of jurisdictions to special municipalities changes moving decisions before and after the reform. Our macro-level models use ordinary least squared(OLS)regression to investigate determinants of net in-migration rate during the period 2004 to 2013. At micro levels, we apply conditional logit model to identify the factors that affect the destination choice based on the data from Internal Migration Survey in 2007 and 2012. Our empirical results found evidence in registered residence that the special municipality reform affected inter-jurisdiction migration decisions in Taiwan, and the effect markedly differ by the ages of the householders. Furthermore, the jurisdictions with more abundant revenue sources were more likely to be chosen as the registered residence of household. However, higher expenditure on public goods and welfare did not appear to attract or help retain residents.

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