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截切資料在隨機波動模式下的估計
Thesis

截切資料在隨機波動模式下的估計

施又豪
Masters, 國立清華大學, 統計學研究所
2010

Abstract

隨機波動模式 截切資料 ARMA 數據填補 參數估計 訊息矩陣 stochastic volatility model truncated data ARMA data augment estimation Fisher information matrices
Stochastic volatility (SV) model is a popular model for characterizing time-varying variance for return data. Due to some regulation rules in the financial market, observed returns for assets sometimes have truncations. Adapted the idea of Park, Genton and Ghosh (2007) to deal with the truncated data in fitting an ARMA model, this thesis suggests an estimation method to deal with the truncated return data in fitting SV model, which incorporates an imputation step in the maximum likelihood estimation. We demonstrate the efficiency gain of the truncation-adjusted estimator over the unadjusted estimator by comparing their trace of the inverse Fisher information matrices via simulations. The applications to HTC and WINTEK returns are provided for illustration. Keywords: stochastic volatility model, truncated data, ARMA, data augment, estimation, Fisher information matrices.

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