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衡量信用違約交換的利率風險與信用風險
Thesis

衡量信用違約交換的利率風險與信用風險

林彥丞
Masters, 國立清華大學, 統計學研究所
2014

Abstract

信用違約交換 違約強度 違約機率 利率期限結構 DNS模型 損失分配 風險衡量 Credit Default Swap Default Intensity Default Probability Term Structure of Interest Rates Dynamic Nelson-Siegel Loss Distribution Risk Measurement
When a bank trades financial instruments, what it faced is mainly interest rate risks. But it also cannot ignore the potential loss caused by debtors’ credit downgrades. How to accurately measure and manage both types of risks is an important task for all banks. In this thesis, we examine how to derive the default intensity and corresponding probability of default in the credit default swap (CDS), and then combine it with the risk-free rate. We then use Dynamic Nelson-Siegel model to estimate this combined structure. In the last stage, we use Monte Carlo method to simulate ten day Value at Risk as a measure for Banks' risk-based capital requirement.

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