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A Flight-to-Safety Principle for Cost-Sensitive Distributionally Robust Log-Optimal Portfolio
Journal article   Peer reviewed

A Flight-to-Safety Principle for Cost-Sensitive Distributionally Robust Log-Optimal Portfolio

Chung-Han Hsieh and Xiao-Rou Yu
IEEE control systems letters, Vol.10, pp.379-384
2026

Abstract

Costing Costs Distributionally robust optimization International trade Kelly criterion Modeling Optimization Portfolios Radio frequency Safety stochastic control transaction costs Vectors Wasserstein distance Windows
This letter investigates how distributional ambiguity interacts with transaction costs in a log-optimal portfolio control formulation. Return ambiguity is modeled by a 1-Wasserstein ball centered at the empirical distribution, and trading frictions are incorporated via a convex, positively homogeneous transaction cost function applied at each rebalance. We establish a flight-to-safety principle: as trading frictions rise, the critical ambiguity radius-the smallest radius beyond which the optimizer retreats entirely to the risk-free asset-weakly decreases. Rolling-window experiments on S&P 500 constituents illustrate this mechanism, showing that higher transaction costs systematically shift the robust allocation toward the risk-free asset.

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