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A visa for a revolution? A theory of anti-authoritarian immigration policy
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A visa for a revolution? A theory of anti-authoritarian immigration policy

Carlo M. Horz 和 Jonghoon Lee
Journal of theoretical politics, 卷.36(3), 頁碼.275-296
07/2024
Web of Science ID: WOS:001278013900001

摘要

migration Authoritarian politics game theory
Sometimes, countries target immigration policies to citizens of authoritarian regimes with the goal of influencing these regimes’ politics. Which kinds of immigration rules are optimal anti-authoritarian policies and which trade-offs do policy-makers face? We analyze a game-theoretic model in which a destination country, an autocrat, and a citizen interact. The citizen can engage in protest and emigrate while the autocrat can redistribute and repress to counter these threats. A revolution occurs if the autocrat does not repress and the citizen protests. Policy-makers in destination countries anticipate that in equilibrium, a more permissive immigration policy reduces repression but also reduces protesting. Therefore, the optimal policy strikes a balance between these two effects. A concern for improving the citizen’s welfare renders policy more permissible while the desire to punish the autocrat has an ambiguous effect. Finally, we show that a revolution and large-scale emigration are difficult to achieve at the same time.

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