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Contour estimation via two fidelity computer simulators under limited resources
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Contour estimation via two fidelity computer simulators under limited resources

Ray-Bing Chen, Ying-Chao Hung, Weichung WangSung-Wei Yen
Computational Statistics, 卷.28(4), 頁碼.1813-1834
08/2013

摘要

Co-kriging Contour estimation Expected improvement criterion Sequential design Two fidelity simulators Statistics and Probability Statistics Probability and Uncertainty Computational Mathematics
The utilization of multiple fidelity simulators for the design and analysis of computer experiments has received increased attention in recent years. In this paper, we study the contour estimation problem for complex systems by considering two fidelity simulators. Our goal is to design a methodology of choosing the best suited simulator and input location for each simulation trial so that the overall estimation of the desired contour can be as good as possible under limited simulation resources. The proposed methodology is sequential and based on the construction of Gaussian process surrogate for the output measure of interest. We illustrate the methodology on a canonical queueing system and evaluate its efficiency via a simulation study. © 2012 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg.

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