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Estimating negative binomial parameters from occurrence data with detection times
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Estimating negative binomial parameters from occurrence data with detection times

Wen-Han Hwang, Richard HugginsJakub Stoklosa
Biometrical Journal, 卷.58(6), 頁碼.1409-1427
11/2016
PMID: 27477340

摘要

Aggregation index Cost analysis Misidentification Negative binomial distribution Presence-absence data Statistics and Probability Statistics Probability and Uncertainty
The negative binomial distribution is a common model for the analysis of count data in biology and ecology. In many applications, we may not observe the complete frequency count in a quadrat but only that a species occurred in the quadrat. If only occurrence data are available then the two parameters of the negative binomial distribution, the aggregation index and the mean, are not identifiable. This can be overcome by data augmentation or through modeling the dependence between quadrat occupancies. Here, we propose to record the (first) detection time while collecting occurrence data in a quadrat. We show that under what we call proportionate sampling, where the time to survey a region is proportional to the area of the region, that both negative binomial parameters are estimable. When the mean parameter is larger than two, our proposed approach is more efficient than the data augmentation method developed by Solow and Smith (, Am. Nat. 176, 96–98), and in general is cheaper to conduct. We also investigate the effect of misidentification when collecting negative binomially distributed data, and conclude that, in general, the effect can be simply adjusted for provided that the mean and variance of misidentification probabilities are known. The results are demonstrated in a simulation study and illustrated in several real examples.

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https://doi.org/10.1002/bimj.201500239檢視
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