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Famine, revolt, and the dynastic cycle:  Population dynamics in historic China
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Famine, revolt, and the dynastic cycle: Population dynamics in historic China

C. Y. Cyrus ChuRonald D. Lee
Journal of Population Economics, 卷.7(4), 頁碼.351-378
1994
PMID: 12288504

摘要

Demography,Economics and Econometrics
Historians have long noticed that population declines in ancient China often coincided with dynasty changes, and that most of these declines were the result of internecine wars which, in turn, were often initiated by famine or density pressure. Since the interactions between density pressure, internecine wars, and dynasty changes cannot be explained by the traditional age-specific density-dependent population structure, we propose to use a bandit/peasant/ruler occupation-specific population model to interpret the dynamic socio-economic transitions of ancient Chinese population, and provide econometric support to our model. We also highlight the rich dynamics of the composition of human population, a factor which was often neglected in previous research on general populations. © 1994, Springer-Verlag. All rights reserved.

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