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Hot money effect or foreign exchange exposure? Investigation of the exchange rate exposures of Taiwanese industries
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Hot money effect or foreign exchange exposure? Investigation of the exchange rate exposures of Taiwanese industries

I-Chun Tsai, Ming-Chu Chiang, Huey-Cherng TsaiChia-Ho Liou
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 卷.31(1), 頁碼.75-96
2014

摘要

Economic exposure Exchange rate exposure Foreign exchange rate Hot money Taiwanese industries Finance Economics and Econometrics
In this study, we use stock index data of various industries in Taiwan from 2001 to 2010 to estimate the exchange rate exposures of these industries under various data frequencies (daily, monthly, and quarterly). We add the effect of hot money on exchange rate exposures and find that significant exchange rate exposures exist for most industries. After including the buy-sell imbalance of foreign investors as a factor, we find that the positive effect of currency value changes on stock returns probably contributes to the concurrent increase in the stock and foreign exchange markets caused by the hot money flowing into Taiwan from foreign investors. We likewise observe a more significant exposure in the lower frequency data. This result indicates that avoiding economic exposure in exchange rate exposures is comparatively more difficult. © 2014 Elsevier B.V.

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